Lady Gaga Dominates the Odds: Betting Favorites for the 2025 MTV VMAs

With only two days remaining until the 2025 MTV VMAs begin, online sportsbooks are starting to post odds for a few of the main categories

Props for betting on the MTV Video Music Awards are now available at multiple entertainment gambling sites leading up to Sunday’s event. So far, the lines on each category feature a heavy favorite that is well ahead of the remainder of the nominees. ies,

While there is the potential for odds to be produced for any remaining VMAs in the next 48 hour, let’s go ahead and cover what’s available as of this writing

Video of the Year

• Kendrick Lamar – Not Like Us -300
• Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars – Die With A Smile +230
• Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild +800
• Billie Eilish – Birds Of A Feather +900
• The Weeknd ft. Playboi Carti – Timeless +1000
• Ariana Grande – Brighter Days Ahead +1000
• ROSÉ & Bruno Mars – APT +1200

Kendrick Lamar certainly made an impact with his summer 2024 hit, Not Like Us, and the resulting video is favored to become the best of the last 12-month cycle. His video is rated 330 points ahead of Gaga and Mars’ Die With A Smile.

Have a look at each video and decide for yourself before committing to any wagers.

Artist of the Year

• Lady Gaga -550
• Taylor Swift +500
• Beyoncé +800
• Kendrick Lamar +650
• The Weeknd +1000
• Bad Bunny +1000
• Morgan Wallen +1400

Entertainment sportsbooks seem to have no doubt about Lady Gaga’s chances at winning the Artist of the Year VMA. She is rated over 800 points ahead of Taylor Swift, and 1,000 ahead of Beyoncé.

Best Album

• Sabrina Carpenter – Short n’ Sweet -350
• Lady Gaga – Mayhem +260
• Kendrick Lamar – GNX +800
• Bad Bunny – DtMF +1000
• The Weeknd – Hurry Up Tomorrow +1200
• Morgan Wallen – I’m the Problem +1200

Entertainment prop bets for the VMAs imply that Sabrina Carpenter’s Short n’ Sweet will win Best Album. The LP is loaded with radio-friendly hits like “Espresso,” “Please, Please, Please,” “Taste,” “Bed Chem,” “Juno,” and “Busy Woman.”

Sometimes the voters get overzealous and throw their entire support behind a single performer, so beware of the potential for a sweep from Lady Gaga.

New Artist of the Year

• Alex Warren -500
• Lola Young +300
• Sombr +400
• Gigi Perez +800
• Ella Langley +750
• The Marias +1000

Alex Warren seems to have a lock on the New Artist of the Year VMA. Lola Young and Sombr are within a respectable distance of Warren but not worthy of an underdog bet.

Song of the Year

• Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars – Die With A Smile -800
• Billie Eilish – Birds Of A Feather +400
• Alex Warren – Ordinary +750
• ROSÉ & Bruno Mars – APT +1000
• Doechii – Anxiety +1300
• The Weeknd & Playboi Carti – Timeless +1600
• Tate McRae – Sports Car +1600
• Lorde – What Was That +2000
• Gracie Abrams – I Love You, I’m Sorry +2500

As we mentioned earlier, there is the potential for Gaga to take home multiple VMAs, as she’s favored for Song of the Year and has a shot at Album of the Year. For now, Die With A Smile is the biggest lock on the board.

The 2025 MTV VMAs will begin this Sunday at 8 p.m. on CBS.