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Jay Gruden favored to be first NFL coach fired, Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year

Jay Gruden getting fired by Trump

In the coaching world, the pinnacle of success is being named the head coach of an NFL team. However, keeping that post is a completely different beast.

Six coaches were fired at the end of the 2018 season with two others fired midseason. For 2019, like any other year, there’s expected to be more coaching vacancies popping up across the league.

To make unemployment more enjoyable, BetOnline has released prop bets on which NFL coach will be the first of the season to get their pink slips. It’s not looking good for Jay Gruden.

Gruden, head coach of the Washington Redskins, has +450 odds to be fired first in 2019. Gruden was hired by Washington in 2014, going 4-12 in his inaugural season. Despite winning the NFC East in 2015, Gruden’s Redskins have not made the playoffs since.

If Gruden cannot improve his 35-44-1 NFL coaching record quickly, he’ll likely be axed early in the season.

Misery loves company, which is why we must also mention New York Giants head coach Pat Shurmur and his +700 odds to be fired first at some point during the 2019 NFL betting season. The Giants hired Shurmur in January 2018 to take over for the fired Ben McAdoo.

In his first season, Shurmur led the Giants to a 5-11 season. Now with the loss of WR Odell Beckham Jr. and a QB controversy budding between veteran Eli Manning and rookie Daniel Jones, Shurmur’s job outlook is looking hazy.

First NFL coach to be fired or resign in 2019


  • Jay Gruden +450
  • Pat Shurmur +700
  • Doug Marrone +900
  • Bill O’Brien +1200
  • Dan Quinn +1200
  • Matt Patricia +1600
  • Ron Rivera +1600
  • Adam Gase +1800
  • Jason Garrett +1800
  • Sean McDermott +1800
  • Kliff Kingsbury +2000
  • Mike Vrabel +2200
  • Brian Flores +2500
  • Freddie Kitchens +2500
  • Matt LaFleur +2500
  • Mike Tomlin +2500
  • Anthony Lynn +2800
  • Mike Zimmer +2800
  • Kyle Shanahan +3300
  • Sean Payton +3300
  • Vic Fangio +3300
  • Jon Gruden +4000
  • Bruce Arians +5000
  • John Harbaugh +5000
  • Pete Carroll +5000
  • Zac Taylor +5000
  • Frank Reich +6600
  • Matt Nagy +6600
  • Andy Reid +10000
  • Doug Pederson +10000
  • Sean McVay +10000
  • Bill Belichick +25000

There are positives for coaches throughout the season, however. Each year, one coach is crowned the AP Coach of the Year.

Despite going 4-12 last season and 6-10 the year before that, oddsmakers give San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan the best odds at +1000 to take the honor in 2019. He also has +3300 odds to be fired first.

The 49ers will get their quarterback, Jimmy Garropolo, back this season after a torn ACL in Week 3 sidelined him for much of 2018. If Shanahan can lead the team to the playoffs for the first time in his tenure, there’s a chance he will win Coach of the Year.

But if the Cleveland Browns do as well as expected, their head coach will likely claim the COY title. Freddie Kitchens has +1100 odds to win Coach of the Year, due to the new combination of QB Baker Mayfield and WR Odell Beckham Jr.

The next best odds to win the award belong to two former winners. Sean McVay of the Los Angeles Rams and Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots both have +1200 odds to win the award again in 2019.

Belichick has won the award three previous times in 2003, 2007, and 2010. McVay won in 2017, his first season as the Rams’ head coach.

Last year’s Coach of the Year, Chicago Bears head coach Matt Nagy, has +2000 odds to win the title again in 2019.

2019 NFL AP Coach Of The Year odds


  • Kyle Shanahan +1000
  • Freddie Kitchens +1100
  • Bill Belichick +1200
  • Sean McVay +1200
  • Andy Reid +1400
  • Frank Reich +1400
  • Sean Payton +1400
  • Doug Pederson +1600
  • Anthony Lynn +2000
  • Bruce Arians +2000
  • Dan Quinn +2000
  • Matt LaFleur +2000
  • Matt Nagy +2000
  • Vic Fangio +2000
  • Pete Carroll +2200
  • Doug Marrone +2500
  • Adam Gase +2800
  • Bill O’Brien +2800
  • Jason Garrett +2800
  • John Harbaugh +2800
  • Mike Tomlin +2800
  • Mike Zimmer +2800
  • Kliff Kingsbury +3300
  • Mike Vrabel +3300
  • Ron Rivera +3300
  • Sean McDermott +3300
  • Jon Gruden +4000
  • Brian Flores +5000
  • Jay Gruden +5000
  • Matt Patricia +5000
  • Pat Shurmur +5000
  • Zac Taylor +5000

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