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Bookies Still Favor Guilty Verdict in Diddy Sex Trafficking Trial

a courtroom sketch of Diddy looking at a video of him and Cassie

On Thursday, prosecutors made their closing arguments in the case against entertainment mogul Sean “Diddy” Combs, hopeful that they’ve given sufficient evidence to the jury to prove his guilt.

Today, Diddy’s defense team will make their closing arguments to the jury of twelve. Their objective is to convince them that Diddy is innocent of all charges, which include the following:

What Diddy Is Charged With?

  • Racketeering conspiracy – a form of organized crime involving a pattern of illegal activities, often conducted by a criminal enterprise, for financial gain. It typically involves a combination of illegal acts, such as extortion, fraud, bribery, or threats.
  • Two counts of sex trafficking
  • Two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution

What Diddy Is Facing

  • Convicted On All Counts: A minimum of 15 years in prison with a maximum of life
  • If Found Guilty On The Transportation Charges: A maximum sentence of 10 years
  • If Found Guilty Of Sex Trafficking: A minimum sentence of 15 years
  • If Found Guilty Of Racketeering: A maximum sentence of life in prison

Online sportsbooks have been tracking the trial and creating odds for betting on Diddy throughout this entire ordeal. These odds can only be found at offshore sportsbooks because locally regulated venues have voluntarily opted out of the entertainment market.

How Many Years Will Diddy Serve For The Charges of Sex Trafficking, Racketeering & Transportation To Engage in Prostitution All Together?

  • From 11 to 15 Years -125
  • From 6 to 10 Years +300
  • From 16 to 20 Years +300
  • From 1 to 5 Years +400
  • More Than 20 Years But Less Than Life Sentence +500
  • He Won’t Serve Any Years +800
  • Life Sentence +900

*The above Diddy odds are posted at BetUS

The latest entertainment prop bets for Diddy still favor an outcome where he’ll be sentenced to between eleven and fifteen years, but the moneyline odds are now 25 points closer to even since May.

Diddy’s Odds Of Going To Jail On May 14, 2025

  • From 11 to 15 Years -150
  • From 16 to 20 Years EVEN
  • More Than 20 Years But Less Than Life Sentence +250
  • From 6 to 10 Years +650
  • He Won’t Serve Any Years +2000
  • From 1 to 5 Years +2500
  • Life Sentence +4000

Online entertainment sportsbooks are factoring in the potential for a conviction on individual counts when creating these Diddy odds. Based on what is presented here, the most likely outcome is a conviction on at least one count of sex trafficking, which carries a mandatory fifteen-year minimum sentence.

Coming in second place is a sentence of between six and ten years at +300, which has dropped 350 points toward even since May 14th. For this outcome to occur, Diddy would have to receive a sole conviction on the count of transportation, which carries a maximum of ten years.

Following the closing argument, the jury will deliberate and hand down their verdict once decided. The judge will then schedule a sentencing hearing if Diddy is found guilty on any charges, which could take months.

SourcesBBC | US News

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