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UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Betting Preview

UFC 323 promo featuring Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 is happening tomorrow at the iconic T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, marking the promotion’s final numbered pay-per-view event of the year.​

In the main event, bantamweight champion Merab Dvalishvili defends his title for a historic fourth time in 2025 against former champion Petr Yan in their highly anticipated rematch. The co-main event pits flyweight king Alexandre Pantoja against surging contender Joshua Van, promising a championship double-header packed with stakes.​

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan Tale of the Tape

Merab Dvalishvili Petr Yan
Nickname The Machine ​ No Mercy ​
Record 21-4-0 ​ 19-5-0 ​
Height 5’6″ (168 cm) ​ 5’7″ (170 cm) ​
Stance Orthodox ​ Orthodox
Average fight time 17:08 ​ 17:08 ​
Wins by KO/TKO 3 7
Wins by submission 2 1
Wins by decision 16 ​ 11 ​
Total losses 4 ​ 5 ​
Current status UFC bantamweight champion ​ Former UFC bantamweight champion ​
Style emphasis High‑volume wrestling, relentless pace; record 117 takedowns in UFC ​ Technical boxing, counter‑striking, strong takedown defense

Yan vs. Dvalishvili 1

The first fight between Dvalishvili and Yan occurred at a UFC Fight Night on March 11, 2023. Dvalishvili defeated Yan by unanimous decision (50-45 by all three judges) in the main event.​

Dvalishvili dominated with relentless wrestling pressure, landing 11 of 49 takedown attempts and controlling 6:53 on the ground while outstriking Yan 147-75 in significant strikes (91-41 to the head).

Yan defended effectively but spent much of the 25-minute fight managing distance and defending takedowns, which drained his energy as Dvalishvili’s cardio shone in later rounds.​​

Post-fight, Yan cited injuries that impacted his performance, while Dvalishvili’s win extended his streak, setting up his title run.

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan Betting Line

  • Dvalishvili -410
  • Yan +305
  • Over 4.5 (-435)
  • Under 4.5 (+290)

UFC sportsbooks seem to have no doubt that Dvalishvili will defend his title for a fifth time and deliver Yan his 6th career loss. Numerous MMA props are offered for method of victory and round betting that provide some detail on what the oddsmakers believe will happen tomorrow night.

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan Method of Victory Props

  • Merab Dvalishvili Wins by Decision or Technical Decision -250
  • Merab Dvalishvili Wins Inside Distance +460
  • Petr Yan Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +550
  • Petr Yan Wins Inside Distance +950
  • Draw or Technical Draw +8000

Neither fighter is are knockout specialist, and both have secured most of their victories via decision. This reality is reflected in the above prop, because either fighter winning by decision are featured in the top three out of five total options.

Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan Round Betting Odds

  • Merab Dvalishvili by points: -230
  • Petr Yan by points: +450
  • Merab Dvalishvili Round 1: +1800
  • Merab Dvalishvili Round 2: +1800
  • Merab Dvalishvili Round 3: +2000
  • Merab Dvalishvili Round 4: +2200
  • Merab Dvalishvili Round 5: +2500
  • Petr Yan Round 1: +3000
  • Petr Yan Round 2: +3000
  • Petr Yan Round 3: +3300
  • Petr Yan Round 4: +3300
  • Petr Yan Round 5: +3300
  • Draw: +8000

Tune in via ESPN+ PPV for the main card at 10 p.m. ET, with prelims on ESPN2/Disney+ at 8 p.m. ET and early prelims at 6 p.m. ET.

UFC 323 Odds: Bovada Sportsbook | Yahoo! Sports

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