As we approach the 2022 Midterm elections, the US political landscape is changing seemingly by the day. But that’s always true.
Still, things feel different right now. Politics is anything but business as usual. These days, the institution is business as unusual.
Much of that, of course, is being spurred by the current recession and the general spending disaster that is the Joe Biden Administration.
The media’s been doing its best to deflect the public’s attention from that, feverishly covering nothingburgers like the recent FBI raid of the former (and future?) President’s Mar-a-Lago home in Florida.
But that, like everything else, has backfired bigly. Donald Trump grows more powerful with every attack.
Nevertheless, the raid – and resultant questions as to whether Trump will be indicted or arrested or tried or charged or sent off to wherever they send people off for “high treason” and whatever other such phony baloney nobody believes – has moved some of the current political odds a bit.
At most legal political betting sites, Trump is still the favorite to run for President and win back the White House in 2024, but Florida Governor Rod DeSantis has overtaken Trump in some key races.
In fact, at BetOnline specifically, DeSantis is actually favored to become the next President. For now.
So, with these developments in mind, here are the newest online election odds and our brief touts for each one:
2024 Presidential Election Odds
To Run for US President 2024
- Donald Trump -300
- Gavin Newsom +200
- Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson +300
- Hillary Clinton +300
- Howard Stern +500
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +600
- Tucker Carlson +700
- Elon Musk +1600
- Ivanka Trump +1600
- Donald Trump Jr. +3300
- + More
Some of the above.
Democratic Nominee for the 2024 Election
- Joe Biden +160
- Kamala Harris +285
- Gavin Newsom +400
- Pete Buttigieg +1200
- Elisabeth Warren +1400
- Hillary Clinton +1800
- Amy Klobuchar +2000
- Michelle Obama +2000
- Gretchen Whitmer +2500
- Cory Booker +4000
- + More
None of the above.
Republican Nominee for the 2024 Election
- Donald Trump +120
- Ron DeSantis +120
- Mike Pence +1200
- Mike Pompeo +2500
- Nikki Haley +2500
- Tom Cotton +3000
- Kristi Noem +4000
- Ted Cruz +4000
- Tim Scott +4000
- Josh Hawley +5000
- + More
Liz Cheney is 11th on the board at +5000, but we have a crazy theory about that, and here it is: Cheney is going to run for President in 2024, but she’s going to run on the Democrat side.
The left has no strong, palatable, marketable candidate, and they’re bleeding voters from the center. Cheney is the RINO of all RINOs, and she’s been the sweetheart of the political left – and the MSM – since January 6. Every House rep and Senator on the dark side of the aisle has professed his or her unfettered admiration for Cheney, which means she could well be the establishment “centrist” the Democrats need in 2024.
In any case, there’s no chance in hell Cheney’s going to get the GOP nod for 2024, and she’s not anti-establishment enough – or bipartisan enough – to make a meaningful third-party run.
2024 Democrat Vice President Nominee
- Kamala Harris +170
- Pete Buttigieg +400
- Amy Klobuchar +800
- Gretchen Whitmer +1000
- Liz Cheney +1200
- Michelle Obama +1600
- Elizabeth Warren +2000
- Gavin Newsom +2000
- Joe Manchin +2000
- Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez +2500
- + More
Liz Cheney is the only one on this list that would be a reasonable fit. That is, if she doesn’t get the Democratic Presidential nomination.
Which she will.
Which makes her absence from those odds all the more confounding.
2024 Republican Vice President Nominee
- Kristi Noem +500
- Nikki Haley +600
- Joni Ernst +800
- Tom Cotton +800
- Ivanka Trump +1000
- Josh Hawley +1200
- Marsha Blackburn +1200
- Tim Scott +1400
- Ben Carson +2000
- Cindy Hyde-Smith +2000
- + More
Interestingly, Ron DeSantis is way down the current list at +2500 odds to be the GOP Vice President candidate for 2024.
Tactically speaking, DeSantis should be the favorite or trending in second. If Trump runs, a DeSantis VP showing would be the most sensible thing.
The FL Governor can’t afford to challenge Trump in the primaries, nor can he afford to wait until 2028 to capitalize on his current popularity.
By then, he’d be two years out of politics, giving the next big thing a chance to steal his thunder.
Odds to Win the 2024 Presidential Election
- Ron DeSantis +265
- Donald Trump +325
- Joe Biden +425
- Gavin Newsom +1100
- Kamala Harris +1200
- Mike Pence +2000
- Elizabeth Warren +3000
- Michelle Obama +3000
- Pete Buttigieg +3000
- Nikki Haley +4000
- + More
The rationale here must be that both The Ronald and The Donald are equally likely to win the party nomination, but that DeSantis would fare better in the national election.
Pro-Tip: Bet on both DeSantis and Trump, and you’re guaranteed a decent payout if of them wins.
U.S. 2024 Presidential Election – Winning Party
- Republicans -130
- Democrats -110
- Any Other Party +3300
This should be obvious, but after 2020, it’s less so. Still, at -130, there’s still good value to be had on the GOP.
We expect the Republican odds to pay out less and less going forward.
2022 FBI Trump Raid Odds
Who is the Mar a Lago Mole?
- Tom Barrack +250
- Mark Meadows +325
- Jared Kushner +400
- Jim Jordan +1400
- Matt Gaetz +1400
- Rudy Giuliani +1400
- Steve Bannon +1400
- John Eastman +2800
- Ivanka Trump +3500
- Michael Flynn Sr. +3500
- Christopher Miller +4000
- Kash Patel +4000
- Kelly-Anne Conway +5000
- Mike Lindell +5000
- Paul Manafort +5000
- Tiffany Trump +6500
- Stormy Daniels +6900
- Kayleigh McEneny +7500
- Melania Trump +7500
- Benjamin Netanyahu +10000
- Elon Musk +10000
- Roger Stone +10000
- Sidney Powell +10000
- Dana White +12500
- Marco Rubio +12500
- Alex Jones +15000
- Corey Lewandoswki +15000
- Donald Trump Jr. +15000
- Eric Trump +15000
- Ghislaine Maxwell +15000
- Kanye West +15000
- Kid Rock +15000
- Lara Trump +15000
- Mike Pence +15000
- Nigel Farage +15000
- Jon Voight +20000
- Kevin McCarthy +20000
- Rand Paul +20000
- Ron DeSantis +20000
- Scott Baio +20000
- Ted Nugent +20000
- Vladimir Putin +20000
- Billy Bush +25000
- Jack Nicklaus +25000
- Joe Rogan +25000
As you can see, we’ve highlighted all the picks that are totally plausible and make the most sense. Meanwhile, we’ve left out the ones that simply stretch credulity a bit too far.
That said, one name has been curiously omitted: Donald Trump himself.
Yes, Donald Trump is the Mar-a-Lago mole. He is, after all, ever the showman.
