If it seems like just yesterday that voters in Georgia were deciding the majority party in the US Senate in a runoff election, it kind of was. In January of 2021, Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff both won their respective elections to attain a 51-50 majority in the US Senate.
Just 18 months later, the Peach State is embroiled in yet another US Senate runoff, this time between incumbent Raphael Warnock and GOP challenger Herschel Walker.
Warnock won the general election last month by under 38,000 votes, a margin narrow enough to cause a runoff. Georgia requires that US Senate election winners secure at least 50% of the vote, a total that Warnock missed by just over half-a-percent.
GA US Senate Election Results – November 8th
- Raphael Warnock – 1,946,117 Votes – 49.44%
- Herschel Walker – 1,908,442 Votes – 48.49%
Votes will be cast and counted today in Georgia, and at least two online political sportsbooks have Walker vs. Warnock odds and props on the boards.
Unlike during the general election cycle, where the differential was under 1%, BetOnline now forecasts an outcome where Warnock wins by over 3.5% of the vote.
Georgia: Warnock Margin of Victory
- Over 3.5 % -150
- Under 3.5 % +110
They are also suggesting with the following prop that Walker hasn’t got a chance of winning today. Warnock’s moneyline of -2500 implies a 96% chance of winning and will require a wager of $25 just to net a $1 gain by betting on him.
Alternatively, Herschel Walker’s odds would deliver solid profits if he is the upset winner, as a one-dollar wager on his +800 moneyline would earn 8-to-1 gains.
US Senate 2022 – Georgia
- Raphael Warnock (D) -2500
- Herschel Walker (R) +800
BetUS has weighed in with some political prop bets of their own, also projecting a decisive win for the Democratic Party.
Georgia Winning Senator Odds
- Herschel Walker (R) +850
- Raphael Warnock (D) -2500
The above prop is why we always advise line shopping for the best payouts, as Walker’s odds are 50 points lower at BetUS than they are at BetOnline.
GA Runoff Odds – Warnock’s Winning Margin
- Over 3½ Winning Margin -150
- Under 3½ Winning Margin +110
Why is Walker, who just lost a close race, now favored to lose big? There’s no majority on the line this time, as the DNC has already retained control of the United States Senate for the next two years.
Also, with how poorly Trump-backed candidates fared in the 2022 midterm election cycle, voters are now poised to turn their back on Walker.
The following prop is a pre-arranged parlay for betting on college football and election outcomes, and winning the bet requires both a Hershal Walker win and a University of Georgia CFP National Championship on January 9th.
Herschel Walker Wins & Georgia Wins National Championship
- Yes +1400
There is no option for “no” in the above parlay, and the odds of success provide another solid indicator of a Walker loss. The reason? The Bulldogs are heavy favorites to win the NCAA Football National Championship and have the best odds to do so among the final four teams.
In fact, if you’re feeling up to betting on Walker to win in GA, then go ahead and invest in the above prop bet that includes a UGA National Title because they’re currently 510 points ahead of the Michigan Wolverines, their nearest competitor, in the moneyline odds.
Warnock vs. Walker Election Odds – BetOnline, BetUS
Source – New York Times, AP News