Today, the world is witnessing a transformative surge in artificial intelligence (AI), reshaping industries and daily life at an unprecedented pace. From healthcare to finance, AI’s capabilities are expanding, driven by advancements in machine learning and data processing.
This technological revolution, marked by the release of sophisticated models like Grok 3, Perplexity, and OpenAI, is sparking both excitement and debate. Concerns include the accuracy of the results, AI’s potential to replace human efforts, and its impact on routine processes going forward.
One frontier where AI is beginning to have a significant impact is within the realm of sports betting. One of AI’s goals is to behave and think like a human would, but with the backing of oceans of data available on the web.
If working perfectly, artificial intelligence would make the most educated guess based on the most accurate data available. This is the same thing a human would do when presented with a set of betting odds and applying the data possessed in their brain to make an assessment.
Today, we asked three major AI clients to project a game winner, a point spread winner, and the total combined points for both teams in tonight’s WNBA match-up between the LA Sparks and Indiana Fever.
Los Angeles Sparks @ Indiana Fever
- Point Spread: Sparks +5.5 (-115), Fever -5.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Sparks +185, Fever -225
- Over: 167.0 (-105)
- Under: 167.0 (-115)
The above odds for betting on the WNBA have been provided by Bovada Sportsbook.
Our Results from Perplexity AI
Based on current WNBA standings and recent performances, the Indiana Fever are favored to win this matchup against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Fever recently snapped a two-game losing streak with a strong 94-86 win over Seattle, propelled by standout performances from Aliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell. The Sparks, meanwhile, are struggling, having just lost to Chicago and sitting at 4-11 on the season.
Projected Winner: Indiana Fever
Expected Margin of Victory: The point spread is Fever -5.5, and given Indiana’s recent form and home-court advantage, a win by 6–10 points is likely, so expect the Fever to cover the spread.
Projected Total Points: The over/under is set at 167.0. Both teams have recently played games in the mid-to-high 80s and 90s (Fever 94-86 over Seattle, Sparks 86 points in their last game). This suggests a combined total in the 170–180 range, making the over a reasonable expectation.
Our Results From ChatGPT (OpenAI)
Who will win? The Indiana Fever — the line favors them at -5.5, and they’re also the moneyline favorite. Their recent form and stats align with that, projecting an 80% implied win chance.
Expected margin: A 7-11 point win is realistic. Betting markets currently have them between -8.5 and -10.5, with implied scorelines suggesting a 10-point edge (~90.5 to 80).
Since the spread is -5.5, a healthy cover by 7–10 points is plausible.
Total points projection: Expect around 168–172 total points.
Season averages for these teams support a range of 81 + 90 = ~171, but with tempo and defense in play, it’s likely to settle near 168–170 combined points.
Final prediction: Indiana Fever win by ~9 points (i.e., 87–78)
Total combined score: around 165–170 points
Our Results From Grok (via Twitter/X)
Based on the available data and current trends as of 12:11 PM EDT on June 26, 2025, the Indiana Fever are favored to win against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Fever have a stronger record (7-7) compared to the Sparks (4-11) and have shown recent form with a notable win over the Seattle Storm, led by Aliyah Boston’s 31 points.
The Sparks are struggling, having lost four straight games and dealing with key injuries, though Cameron Brink might return soon. Despite Caitlin Clark being ruled out, the Fever’s home advantage and Aliyah Boston’s form suggest they can win by more than 5.5 points.
The predicted margin of victory is approximately 9 points, aligning with the -5.5 spread and projections suggesting a 91-82 scoreline. Total points are likely to be around 173, slightly over the 167.0 over/under, given both teams’ recent scoring trends.
Applying AI To Sports Bets
All three artificial intelligence clients project a win by the Indiana Fever, where they cover the 5.5-point spread by beating LA by six points or more. Two of the three clients project that the over will hit, while the third suggests that the over is more likely than the under.
Based on these findings, AI is advising us to make the following bets:
- Bet On Indiana To Cover The -5.5 Point Spread: A max bet of $1,675 will result in a payout of $1,500 if Indiana beats LA by a margin of six or more points.
- Bet On The Fever To Win Outright (-245): A max bet of $3,675 on Indiana’s moneyline odds of -245 at Bovada will result in a win of $1,500 if Indiana wins
- Bet On The Over (167.0): A max bet of $1,725 at Bovada will result in a payout of $1,500 if both teams combine to score 168 or more points.
We will revisit this topic next week to assess the accuracy of these AI sports betting projections and to further test these models against other sets of odds.
Sources:
