Yesterday, the 2026 Golden Globes nominations were revealed, prompting online betting sites to update their odds and projections.
Since it is so early in the betting cycle, the odds are pretty spread out between the categories. At the moment, only Best Female Actor (musical or comedy) and Best Male Actor (drama) allow line shopping to maximize payouts.
Best Female Actor – Musical or Comedy
| Nominee | BetUS Odds | Bovada Odds | Better Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You | -350 | -160 | Bovada |
| Emma Stone – Bugonia | +400 | +325 | BetUS |
| Cynthia Erivo – Wicked: For Good | +1000 | +550 | BetUS |
| Amanda Seyfried – The Testament of Ann Lee | +1000 | +550 | BetUS |
| Chase Infiniti – One Battle After Another | +1200 | +750 | BetUS |
| Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue | +1200 | +700 | BetUS |
For Best Female Actor, both Golden Globes betting sites are favoring Rose Byrne for the win. Byrne plays Linda, a therapist and mother whose life is collapsing under extreme personal and practical pressures in If I Had Legs I’d Kick You.
She is best known for her breakout Hollywood roles in comedies like Bridesmaids (2011), as Helen Harris, and Moira MacTaggert in the X-Men prequels (X-Men: First Class, 2011; X-Men: Apocalypse, 2016).
Best Male Actor – Drama
| Nominee | BetUS Odds | Bovada Odds | Better Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent | -220 | -300 | BetUS |
| Michael B. Jordan – Sinners | +200 | +270 | Bovada |
| Joel Edgerton – Train Dreams | +700 | +1200 | Bovada |
| Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | +1200 | +1500 | Bovada |
| Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen | +1200 | +1000 | BetUS |
| Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | +3300 | +1800 | BetUS |
The latest entertainment prop bets for Best Male Actor suggest that Wagner Moura will bag this year’s Golden Globe. Wagner Moura stars as Marcelo (sometimes referenced as Armando), a reserved widower and former professor/scientist in The Secret Agent, a 1970s-set Brazilian political thriller directed by Kleber Mendonça Filho.
Wagner Moura is best known internationally for his portrayal of Pablo Escobar in Netflix’s Narcos (2015-2016), earning a Golden Globe nomination for his intense depiction of the drug lord.
However, we’re not so sure about Moura’s chances of winning. Why? Because we believe that Sinners has a chance of picking up steam leading into awards season.
Because of the film’s mounting momentum, a sweep could likely occur not just at the Golden Globes but at all stops between now and the Academy Awards next March.
Translation – don’t sleep on Michael B. Jordan and his current odds that are paying out at 2-to-1 or more.
Best Motion Picture – Drama
- Sinners -130
- Hamnet +175
- Un Simple Accidente +500
- Sentimental +1000
- Frankenstein +1400
- The Secret Agent +1400
Best Director – Motion Picture
- Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another -700
- Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value +600
- Guillermo Del Toro – Frankenstein +650
- Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident +650
- Chloé Zhao – Hamnet +700
- Ryan Coogler – Sinners +1200
Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
- Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another -105
- Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident +120
- Chloé Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell – Hamnet +240
- Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme +375
- Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt – Sentimental Value +450
- Ryan Coogler – Sinners +525
The above Sinners odds suggest that the film is in line to win Best Motion Picture (drama), but is listed as a distant longshot for the categories of Best Screenplay and Best Director.
Both of those categories are led by Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another, a film about ex-revolutionaries who reunite after 16 years when a shadowy nemesis kidnaps one member’s daughter.
The film also has massive sweep potential, leading the odds to win Best Musical or Comedy Motion Picture and ranking near the top in Best Male Actor as well.
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
- One Battle After Another -2500
- Marty Supreme +700
- Bugonia +1000
- Blue Moon +2800
- No Other Choice +4900
- Nouvelle Vague +4900
Best Male Actor – Musical or Comedy
- Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme -220
- Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another +275
- Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon +500
- George Clooney – Jay Kelly +800
- Jesse Plemons – Bugonia +1800
- Lee Byung-Hun – No Other Choice +2500
Leonardo DiCaprio plays Bob (aka “Ghetto” Pat Calhoun/”Rocketman”), a washed-up explosives expert living in stoned paranoia off-grid with his daughter Willa. When she goes missing, he fights back.
Timothée Chalamet has a lead on DiCaprio at the moment, but look for that line to shift between now and the ceremony. Chalamet stars as Marty Mauser, an arrogant 1950s New York table tennis hustler chasing championships, affairs, and glory despite family scorn and rivals.
Below are the remaining Golden Globe prop bets that were posted the morning following the 2026 nominations. We expect odds to appear for all remaining major categories soon.
Best Female Actor – Drama
- Jessie Buckley – Hamnet -500
- Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value +400
- Tessa Thompson – Hedda +1000
- Jennifer Lawrence – Die My Love +1600
- Julia Roberts – After The Hunt +1600
- Eva Victor – Sorry, Baby +1600
Best Motion Picture – Animated
- KPop Demon Hunters -245
- Little Amélie or the Character of Rain +425
- Zootopia 2 +600
- Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – Infinity Castle +1000
- Arco +1200
- Elio +1800
Best Performance by a Male Actor – Television Series (Musical or Comedy)
- Seth Rogen – The Studio -750
- Adam Brody – Nobody Wants This +650
- Glen Powell – Chad Powers +650
- Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building +900
- Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building +900
- Jeremy Allen White – The Bear +1200
Best Television Series – Drama
- The Pitt -170
- Severance +255
- White Lotus, The +700
- Diplomat, The +1500
- Slow Horses +1500
- Pluribus +1500
BetUS Sportsbook Review | Bovada Sportsbook Review | Full List Of Golden Globes Nominations
