In a highly anticipated rematch at UFC 320, former UFC light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira returns to challenge current titleholder Magomed Ankalaev, who handed him a rare unanimous decision defeat at UFC 313 in March 2025.
Their first encounter saw Ankalaev’s technical striking and cage control outpoint Pereira, despite the Brazilian’s strong takedown defense. Pereira admitted he fought at only 40% of his capacity in that bout, adding intrigue to the upcoming clash where he aims to reclaim his crown.
Held at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on October 4, 2025, this rematch carries added pressure as fighters who lose titles rarely win immediate follow-ups. With the championship on the line, fans are eager to see if Pereira can adjust his strategy or if Ankalaev will continue his reign as light heavyweight king.
Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira Betting Odds
Ankalaev is listed as a heavy favorite at the top UFC betting sites.
Point Spread:
- Ankalaev -5.5 (-135)
- Pereira +5.5 (+105)
Moneyline:
- Ankalaev -275
- Pereira +225
Over/Under Rounds (4.5 rounds):
- Over 4.5 (-105)
- Under 4.5 (-125)
If a fighter wins by knockout or technical knockout, the point spread on that fighter is a winning bet. If the fight goes to the judges’ scorecards, the point spread will be applied to the fighter’s combined total points.
Combining all elements of this UFC 320 betting line suggests that the fight will be won by Ankalaev via KO or TKO, most likely before the fourth round. Most reputable online sportsbooks concur with this assessment, with only slight variations separating current projections across the web.
Ankalaev vs. Pereira Tale Of The Tape
| Magomed Ankalaev | Alex Pereira | |
| Record (wins-losses-draws) | 21-1-1 (1 NC) | 12/3/2000 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:31 | 11:57 |
| Height | 6 ft 3 in (1.91 m) | 6 ft 4 in (1.93 m) |
| Weight | 205 lbs (93 kg) | 205 lbs (93 kg) |
| Reach | 75 in (192 cm) | 79 in (200 cm) |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of Birth | 2-Jun-92 | 7-Jul-87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 62% |
| Significant Strike Defense | 57% | 53% |
| Takedown Accuracy | 22% | 50% |
| Takedown Defense | 87% | 78% |
This weekend’s UFC 320 rematch features contrasting styles and strengths. Pereira holds the reach advantage and boasts higher striking volume and accuracy, making him the more dangerous striker.
However, Ankalaev’s superior takedown defense and wrestling create a significant obstacle for Pereira. Ankalaev’s well-rounded game and technical striking allowed him to outpoint Pereira in the first fight despite failing to secure takedowns.
We predict a similar tactical battle, with Ankalaev focusing on octagon control and defensive striking, while Pereira seeks a knockout.
Our UFC 320 Prediction: Ankalaev wins by decision.
Bovada Sportsbook | MMA Junkie
