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UFC 318 And The Odds On Holloway vs. Poirier 3

A UFC 318 promo featuring Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier
  • UFC 318 Early Prelims Begin At 6 PM On Fight Pass
  • Preliminary Matches Begin At 8 PM On ESPN+
  • Main Card Begins At 10 PM On ESPN+ Pay-Per-View ($79.99)

A classic series of fights rarely reaches a third match when one combatant has already won the first two. However, that’s exactly what’s happening tomorrow night in the main event of UFC 318.

Justin Poirier is 2-0 against UFC BMF Champion Max Holloway, but these two journeymen are poised to step into the Octagon once again tomorrow night at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana.

What Happened In Holloway vs. Poirier 1

Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier 1 took place at UFC 143 on February 4, 2012. The fight was Holloway’s UFC debut. Poirier dominated on the ground, outclassing Holloway with superior grappling skills.

After securing a full mount, Poirier ultimately finished Holloway by mounted triangle armbar at 3:23 in the first round. This decisive submission loss exposed Holloway’s inexperience on the mat, resulting in his first professional loss.

The Results Of Holloway vs. Poirier 2

The second fight between Holloway and Poirier occurred at UFC 236 on April 13, 2019, with the interim lightweight title at stake. Poirier started strong, stunning Holloway early with heavy strikes.

Holloway stuck with the fight and maintained his trademark high pace and volume, rallying in the later rounds and making the bout highly competitive. Despite Holloway’s relentless output, Poirier’s power and accuracy were decisive, earning him the win via unanimous decision victory.

Why Are They Fighting Again?

Max Holloway is getting another fight against Dustin Poirier at UFC 318 despite losing twice before because the matchup is not about title contention or rankings, but rather is for the UFC’s BMF (Baddest Motherf***er) belt, a special, non-traditional title meant for fan-friendly, high-profile fights.

Holloway’s skills and legendary status, combined with the appeal of a rivalry and the narrative of both fighters evolving since their previous encounters, make this fight compelling for fans and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

UFC sportsbooks have released lines for tomorrow night’s main event, which are now taking action online.

Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier 3 Betting Line

  • Max Holloway -135
  • Over: 4.5 (-155)
  • Dustin Poirier +114
  • Under: 4.5 (+130)
  • BetUS Sportsbook

Despite Poirier holding a 2-0 edge in the series, Holloway is favored to win their third matchup. Max’s lead is not commanding, though, as his lead in the moneyline odds is only 49 points at BetUS.

The over/under for total rounds is set at 4.5, with the over favored. Translation: Oddsmakers expect all five rounds of the fight to be completed and the victory to be awarded by the judges.

Holloway Poirier 3 Prop Bets

The following UFC prop bet for Holloway vs. Poirier III also backs up what is projected in the betting line: the fight will go the distance.

Will The Fight Go The Distance?

  • Yes -155
  • No +125

Victory props also suggest a Holloway win by outpointing Poirier throughout five complete rounds.

UFC 318 Props For Method Of Victory

  • Max Holloway By Points -165
  • Dustin Poirier By Points +275
  • Dustin Poirier By KO/TKO Or DQ +315
  • Max Holloway By KO/TKO Or DQ +385
  • Dustin Poirier By Submission +1000
  • Max Holloway By Submission +1600
  • Draw +6600

Sources: UFC 318 Event Page

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