Can President Trump “rewrite the rules” and clear the path for himself to run for a third term in 2028? Trump now has a shirt for sale at his official online store promoting a 2028 run, and he has mentioned a third term multiple times since returning to office in January.
Can Trump Rewrite The Rules?
For more than three presidential terms to be possible, the 22nd Amendment to the United States Constitution will need to be repealed. This will require replacement language to be passed by both congressional bodies by a 2/3 majority and then passed by the legislatures of at least 38 U.S. states (a 3/4 or greater margin).
While it is early in Trump’s second term, the clock is already ticking on how long he will hold power. His final exit from the Oval Office could lead to additional legal troubles for Trump during his remaining years, if the Democrats return to power in 2028 or later.
That’s why Americans should take Trump’s comments seriously. Political sportsbooks believe that there is a slim chance of the 22nd Amendment being repealed, according to the latest odds they’ve created.
Will Donald Trump Be On The 2028 US Presidential Election Ballot?
- Yes +200
The above odds are paying out at two-to-one on any wagers placed on Trump being on the 2028 ballot. These odds convert to a 33% chance of success.
Will The Two-Term Presidential Time Limit Be Repealed Before The 2028 Election?
- Yes +300
The moneyline odds for a repeal of the 22nd Amendment are much worse than Trump’s appearance on 2028 ballots. Could this prop suggest that Trump will appear on the ballot by some other means?
Will A Constitutional Change Repealing The Two-Term Presidential Limit Be Ratified Before 2026?
- Yes +3000
If Amendment 22 is to be ratified, oddsmakers strongly believe it will not happen before the end of this year.
Additional political prop bets are offered on whether Trump will be impeached during his second term.
Will Trump Be Impeached Before The 2028 US Presidential Election
- Yes EVEN
His chances are 50-50, potentially implying that the Democratic Party will gain control of the US House of Representatives in 2026. The Republican Party currently holds a 220-215 advantage in the US House heading into the 2026 midterm election cycle.
The chances of conviction are still very slim, as it requires a two-thirds vote by members of the US Senate to stick.
Examining the above odds gives the impression that Trump’s best shot at repealing Amendment 22 will be prior to the midterm elections.
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