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Trump Indictment Odds On Whether He Will Serve Jail Time Before 2026

Donald Trump being arraigned in New York

Following the arraignment for felony charges related to a 2016 hush money payment to Stormy Daniels, a fresh batch of Trump indictment odds are making the rounds at legal political sports betting sites.

While Trump odds can be found at election betting sites year-round, this latest batch of props is taking action on a number of potential legal outcomes that he could face over the coming years.

This first in a series of political prop bets asks if Trump will avoid a guilty verdict in his Stormy Daniels trial via a plea bargain.

Will Donald Trump avoid the New York trial with a plea bargain?

  • Plea Bargain +550
  • No Plea Bargain -1000

The odds suggest that there will be no plea bargain, meaning that the trial will move onward toward a decision that will decide the former President’s innocence or guilt.

Will Trump Cut a Plea Deal With State/Federal Prosecutors?

  • No -500
  • Yes +300

This alternate plea deal prop extends to any potential cases that Trump may face, with odds that are closer to even for both outcomes.

Will Donald Trump be found guilty of one or more felonies in New York?

  • Yes +160
  • No -215

The odds for Trump being found guilty are unfavorable but not outside the realm of possibility. The -215 moneyline for Trump avoiding a guilty verdict reflects a 67% chance of happening.

Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump?

  • Joe Biden To Pardon Donald Trump For All Potential Federal Crimes Before The 2024 Election +650
  • Joe Biden NOT To Pardon Donald Trump Before The 2024 Election -1400

While President Biden and Trump are by no means allies, there is a chance that he could pardon Donald if found guilty for the good of the country. We use the term “chance” loosely, as a Biden pardon of Trump is highly unlikely.

The -1400 odds for no Biden pardon converts to a 93% probability.

Prison Match Bet: To Serve Time First

  • Donald Trump -2000
  • Hillary Clinton +700

Even today, Trump supporters still chant “lock her up” in reference to putting former First Lady Hillary Clinton behind bars. The current political odds suggest that Trump will go to jail before Clinton, with a 2500-point separation in the head-to-head moneyline.

Total States/Feds to Indict Trump Before Next Election?

  • Over 2.5 States -140
  • Under 2.5 States +100

The next Presidential election will occur on November 5, 2024. Trump has already been indicted in the state of New York. The above odds for political indictment betting has set an over/under of 2.5 states that will indict Donald in the next 18 months.

The above prop implies that 3 or more states will indict Trump, so there are two more territories that will likely get in on the action before November 2024.

Will Trump Move to Russia Before 2025?

  • No -3000
  • Yes +900

Will Trump finally expose his suspected long-term relationship with the Russian government and flee his legal troubles? There’s no real chance of this happening, but if he does, 9-to-1 payouts are on the line.

Will Trump Serve Jail Time Before 2025?

  • No -2500
  • Yes +800

Will Trump Serve Jail Time Before 2026?

  • No -1500
  • Yes +600

The final two Trump prop bets give gamblers two different options for betting on jail time prior to the end of 2025 and 2026. Once again, it appears that the “Teflon Don” will avoid any hard time, but a felony conviction is all that is required to expel him from further Presidential consideration.

Donald Trump Indictment Odds Provided By Bovada And BetOnline (Bovada Review, BetOnline Review)

Source – CNN

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