Last weekend we went 3-0 with our NFL betting picks, offering three winners against the spread for your gambling pleasure. Week 11 features several intriguing matchups that have us logging into our favorite sportsbooks and laying some early action in advance of Sunday.
Here’s where we’re placing our NFL bets so far this week.
Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins
- Point Spread: Raiders +13.0, Dolphins -13.0
- Moneyline: Raiders +525, Dolphins -800
- Over/Under: 46.5
Anytime we see a massive NFL point spread, it catches our attention. The Miami Dolphins are clearly the better team and are playing at home against a Raiders squad that is seeking an identity.
Vegas has won their last two games in a row, albeit against the Giants and Jets. Still, they are a bit of an unknown quantity on offense, and opposing defenses haven’t quite figured out the patterns of new starting quarterback Aidan O’Connell.
We expect the Dolphins to handle the Raiders, but we’re betting on Las Vegas to cover the 13 points.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns
- Point Spread: Steelers +1.0, Browns -1.0
- Moneyline: Stellers -105, Browns -115
- Over/Under: 33.0
What first seemed like another nightmare season for the Cleveland Browns has now reverted due to their refusal to lose games over the past few weeks. Browns QB Deshawn Watson has been on the shelf for their rebound, making it clear that the makeup of their roster is highly talented and working hard.
Both the Pittsburgh Steelers and Browns are 6-3, tied for second place in the AFC North. They are separated by a one-point spread, with Cleveland favored to win at home. The public seems to be betting on the Steelers to cover in this matchup, but we’re going against the grain and taking the Browns by 1 or more.
Minnesota Vikings @ Denver Broncos
- Point Spread: Vikings +2.5, Broncos -2.5
- Moneyline: Vikings +120, Browns -140
- Over/Under: 42.5
Sunday Night Football closes out the day with an NFC-AFC matchup where playoff implications are actually on the line. The Minnesota Vikings are clinging to the final playoff seed in the NFC and are on a five-game winning streak.
Joshua Dobbs is in at quarterback for Minnesota now that Kirk Cousins is out for the year, and he’s played respectably since being inserted into the lineup.
The Denver Broncos stand at 4-5 after recovering from a nightmare start to the season. Last week Denver defeated the Buffalo Bills on the road. We view that as a sign of trouble for Buffalo and less of an indicator that Denver is improving.
Denver is 3-5-1 against the spread this year, and with their inconsistent performance, we’re having a hard time committing to betting on the Broncos. We’re laying our action on Minnesota covering the +2.5 Sunday night.