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UFC 302: Betting On Makhachev vs. Poirier For The Lightweight Championship

Dustin Poirier and Islam Makhachev
  • UFC 302 Early Prelims Begin June 1st At 6:15 On UFC Fight Pass
  • Preliminary Matches Begin On ESPN2 And ESPN+ At 8 PM On 6/1
  • Purchase UFC 302 On Pay-Per-View For $79.99 On ESPN+

Sometime in the late evening hours after 10 PM this Saturday, Dustin Poirier and Islam Makhachev will step into the Octagon and battle for the UFC Lightweight Championship.

Makhachev is the current champion and has lost one match during his lengthy career. The only blemish on his record is a knockout to Adriano Martins nearly nine years ago at UFC 192.

Poirier is a seasoned fighter who famously beat Conor McGregor twice in their best-out-of-three series of epic fights. Dustin has dropped two of his last four contests, and now that he has eight total losses, he may be one defeat away from ever competing at the top again.

However, Poirier is coming off a second-round KO of Benoît Saint-Denis at UFC 299 in March, which earned him Fight of the Night honors.

Lines for betting on Poirier vs. Makhachev are on the boards now at legal online UFC sportsbooks. Despite Dustin’s recent dominant performance, the MMA odds strongly suggest that Makhachev will retain his title this Saturday at UFC 302.

Dustin Poirier vs. Islam Makhachev Betting Line

  • Moneyline: Poirier +500, Makhachev -700
  • Over/Under: 2.5 Rounds

By strong, we mean that a $1 bet on Poirier will earn a $6 payout at BetOnline. The above line sets the over/under at 2.5 rounds, but current UFC props at BetUS suggest that the fight will most likely end in the first.

Makhachev vs. Poirier Round Betting

  • Round 1 +190
  • To Go The Distance +290
  • Round 2 +300
  • Round 3 +550
  • Round 4 +900
  • Round 5 +1400

The following chart details each fighter’s stats leading into Saturday’s main event.

Dustin Poirier vs. Islam Makhachev Tale Of The Tape

Dustin Poirier Islam Makhachev
Record 30-8-0 25-1-0
Height 5’9” 5’10”
Weight 155 Lbs. 155 Lbs.
Age 35 32
Reach 70.5” 72”
Leg Reach 40.5” 40.5”
Wins By Knockout 15 5
Wins By Submission 8 11


While Poirier is a knockout artist and Makhachev is a submission specialist, both fighters are versatile and can win using a number of different disciplines. The following UFC prop bet implies that the most likely outcome is a win by submission for Makhachev.

UFC 302 Method Of Victory Specials

  • Makhachev By Submission -105
  • Makhachev By KO, TKO, or DQ +275
  • Makhachev By Decision or Technical Decision +385
  • Poirier By KO, TKO or DQ +675
  • Poirier By Decision or Technical Decision +1200
  • Poirier By Submission +2000
  • Draw +6600

Betting odds for the entire card from top to bottom are offered at each of our best-reviewed online sportsbooks and will remain posted until each match begins.

Sources: UFC 302 (Official Website)

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