The 2026 FIFA World Cup is already shaping up to be one of the biggest betting events in global sports. The tournament will be played across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, marking the first time the men’s World Cup is hosted by three countries.
It will also be the first men’s World Cup with 48 teams, expanding the field and creating more betting markets than ever before. The tournament is scheduled for the summer of 2026, with the final set for July 19 at New York New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
For anyone intending to bet on the World Cup, that means futures markets are already live well before kickoff, offering early prices on everything from the outright winner to which teams will reach the knockout stage.
| Team | Odds | Team | Odds | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +450 | France | +475 | England | +700 |
| Argentina | +900 | Brazil | +900 | Portugal | +900 |
| Germany | +1600 | Netherlands | +2200 | Norway | +3500 |
| Belgium | +4500 | Colombia | +4500 | Japan | +6000 |
| Morocco | +6500 | USA | +7000 | Switzerland | +7500 |
| Mexico | +8000 | Ecuador | +8500 | Turkey | +8500 |
| Uruguay | +8500 | Croatia | +9000 | Senegal | +10000 |
| Austria | +15000 | Canada | +20000 | Scotland | +20000 |
| Sweden | +20000 | Czechia | +25000 | Ivory Coast | +25000 |
| Paraguay | +25000 | South Korea | +30000 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | +35000 |
| Egypt | +35000 | Algeria | +40000 | Australia | +50000 |
| Ghana | +50000 | Iran | +50000 | South Africa | +50000 |
| Tunisia | +50000 | DR Congo | +75000 | Saudi Arabia | +100000 |
| Qatar | +125000 | Cape Verde | +150000 | Iraq | +150000 |
| New Zealand | +150000 | Panama | +150000 | Uzbekistan | +250000 |
| Haiti | +300000 | Jordan | +300000 | Curacao | +500000 |
What the World Cup Futures Suggest
The outright winner market makes it clear that soccer sportsbooks see a familiar group of powers at the top. Spain is listed as the favorite at +450, followed closely by France at +475. England sits at +700, while Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal are all priced at +900.
That top tier suggests the market views Spain and France as slightly ahead of the pack, but not by enough to call either team a runaway favorite.
The next tier starts with Germany at +1600 and the Netherlands at +2200, two traditional European powers with enough talent and tournament pedigree to make deep runs.
After that, the odds begin to stretch out quickly. What stands out most is how compressed the board is near the top. Spain and France are favored, but teams such as Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal are not far behind.
In a tournament format, especially one with expanded participation and a long knockout path, the best futures bets are not always about simply picking the best team.
They are about identifying which teams have the right price relative to their path, depth, current form, and ability to win tight knockout matches.
| Team | Odds | Team | Odds | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -360 | England | -350 | France | -350 |
| Brazil | -275 | Argentina | -250 | Germany | -250 |
| Portugal | -250 | Belgium | -145 | Netherlands | -140 |
| Norway | -125 | Switzerland | -120 | Colombia | +105 |
| Mexico | +105 | USA | +120 | Morocco | +125 |
| Japan | +130 | Uruguay | +130 | Ecuador | +135 |
| Turkey | +135 | Croatia | +150 | Canada | +165 |
| Austria | +225 | Czechia | +225 | Egypt | +225 |
| Senegal | +225 | Ivory Coast | +230 | South Korea | +230 |
| Paraguay | +250 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | +275 | Scotland | +275 |
| Sweden | +275 | Iran | +400 | Australia | +425 |
| South Africa | +450 | Tunisia | +600 | DR Congo | +650 |
| New Zealand | +800 | Panama | +900 | Qatar | +900 |
| Cape Verde | +1000 | Iraq | +1200 | Uzbekistan | +1200 |
| Jordan | +1800 | Curacao | +2500 | Haiti | +2500 |
Round of 16 Betting Markets
The “To Reach the Round of 16” market offers a different perspective on the tournament. Instead of asking who can win the whole thing, this market asks which teams are most likely to survive the group stage and advance.
Spain, England, France, Brazil, Argentina, Germany, and Portugal are each in the negative. Current prices show that these elite teams are expected to move through comfortably.
The middle of the market is more interesting. Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, and Switzerland are still favored to advance, but the moneyline odds suggest less certainty.
For bettors, this market may offer more practical value than the outright winner market. A team does not need to win seven matches or lift the trophy to cash a Round of 16 ticket. It only needs to navigate the group stage.
That makes teams such as Colombia, Mexico, Morocco, Japan, Uruguay, and Croatia worth monitoring, depending on the final draw and group matchups.
World Cup Sleeper Picks
Sleeper picks are tricky in a World Cup because the eventual champion almost always comes from a major soccer nation. Still, there are teams with odds that could look appealing if their draw breaks the right way.
Colombia at +4500 is one of the more interesting long shots. Colombia also sits at +105 to reach the Round of 16, which suggests oddsmakers see a realistic path to the knockout stage even if they are not priced like a true title contender.
Japan at +6000 is another potential sleeper. Japan has become a consistent international threat and has shown in recent tournaments that it can compete with elite teams.
Morocco at +6500 will also attract attention after its memorable 2022 run. The market is not treating Morocco like a fluke, but the price still leaves room for bettors who believe it can again defend well, stay organized, and frustrate bigger-name opponents.
Uruguay at +8500 and Croatia at +9000 are also interesting because both have strong tournament identities. Uruguay brings toughness and attacking quality, while Croatia has repeatedly shown it can survive knockout pressure.
For bigger long shots, Canada at +20000 and Senegal at +10000 may be worth discussing, but those are more speculative plays. At those prices, bettors are not just betting on talent. They are betting on a favorable draw, health, form, and a few major upsets.
Does the USA Have a Chance?
The United States is listed at +7000 to win the World Cup and +120 to reach the Round of 16. That tells the story pretty clearly: the market gives the USA a reasonable chance to get out of the group, but it does not see the Americans as a leading contender to win the tournament.
The biggest argument in favor of the USA is home-field advantage. Playing on home soil should help with crowd support, familiarity, and travel. The U.S. also has a player pool with more European experience than past generations, which gives it a higher ceiling than many previous American teams.
Still, winning the World Cup is a different challenge. To seriously contend, the USA would likely need to beat multiple elite teams in knockout matches. That means matching up with countries like Spain, France, Brazil, Argentina, England, or Portugal and finding a way to survive pressure for 90 minutes or more.
At +7000, the USA is priced more like an ambitious long shot than a true favorite. A quarterfinal run would be a strong showing in the tournament. A semifinal appearance would be a major breakthrough. Winning the whole thing would be historic.
Bovada Sportsbook | CBS Sports | Official Groupings
