Politics

Political Betting on Edge as Fear of Recession Intensifies

by
Luke Millinger
March 11, 2025

Made in USA The United States is experiencing several political and economic changes, with newly elected President Donald Trump looking to fix trade relations and make America “rich” again.

Trump’s new trade policy is currently dominating the headlines, with tariffs aimed at long-term allies Canada and Mexico and global trading partner China. New tariffs on goods have led to fears of a recession, as the stock market trended downward in March following the implementation of new economic policies.

President Trump recently tried to calm worries by stating, “There is a period of transition because what we’re doing is very big.” He also said, “We’re bringing wealth back to America. That’s a big thing. … It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us. What I have to do is build a strong country,” he said. You can’t really watch the stock market.”

US Recession Odds

Despite the President’s wording on the current state of the US economy, the stock market has yet to embrace his new policies. Legal sports betting sites for US players have since added political odds concerning the current state of the economy.

Will there be a US recession in 2025?

Yes +135
No -180

(Recession = two consecutive quarters of negative growth)

As seen above, the US is currently favored not to see a recession in 2025 despite the ongoing trade war. Political odds update regularly, and as the market continues to change, we expect to see more odds concerning grocery prices and the job market in the upcoming weeks.

More Political Odds

With concerns of a recession set aside, betting on politics includes upcoming election odds, Ukraine odds, international politics, and more. Below are some odds you can wager on at Bovada’s online sportsbook.

Will Trump end the Ukraine war within 90 days?

Yes +220
No -300

Will the US leave NATO?

Yes +900
No -2900

Will Trump Meet Putin?

Yes +110
No -145

US Presidential Election 2028 – Winning Party

Republican-145
Democrat+115
Independent+5000

International Politics

While US odds typically lead the political betting spectrum, international political odds are also available to online sportsbook account holders. Popular countries often included in the Politics section of online sports betting sites include the UK, France, Ireland, and Scotland.

Below are some of the current international political odds available at Bovada.

Next Country To Leave The EU