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Emmys Odds Suggest Sure-Fire Winners Across Major Categories

ABC 2024 Emmys promo with the award to the left

This Sunday at 8 PM on ABC, the 2024 Primetime Emmys is set to broadcast from Los Angeles, California. Odds for betting on the Emmys have been produced at most of the entertainment sportsbooks that we’ve reviewed, and numerous categories taking action now online.

The Emmys don’t operate on a standard calendar year. Instead, they award for excellence on TV between June 1, 2023, and May 31, 2024.

Guaranteed Emmy Winners According To The Odds

The following 2024 Emmy nominees possess moneyline odds that suggest a certain victory this Sunday night.

  • Drama Supporting Actress – Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown (-1000)
  • Outstanding Drama Series – Shogun (-1100)
  • Comedy Actor – Jeremy Allen White, The Bear (-1100)
  • Comedy Actress – Jean Smart, Hacks (-1000)
  • Comedy Series – The Bear (-1100)
  • Comedy Supporting Actor – Ebon Moss-Bachrach (-2000)
  • Drama Actor – Hiroyuki Sanada, Shogun (-1200)
  • Drama Actress – Anna Sawai, Shogun (-1000)
  • Limited Series – Baby Reindeer (-1000)
  • Talk Series – The Daily Show (-700)

Categories That Are Too Close To Call

Despite the overabundance of overwhelming favorites, there are a few lines featuring contenders that are closely ranked at entertainment gambling sites. For instance, the Emmy for the Best TV Movie has three nominees within 75 points of each other.

Emmys: TV Movie

  • Quiz Lady +175
  • Mr Monk’s Last Case +200
  • Red White & Royal Blue +250
  • Scoop +400
  • Unfrosted +500

Quiz Lady has the early edge over Mr. Monk’s Last Case and Red White & Royal Blue, but it’d hardly be an upset if any of the three won the Emmy. Scoop and Unfrosted are also within striking distance at +400 and +500, respectively.

Emmys: Drama Supporting Actor 

  • Billy Crudup -180
  • Tadanobu Asano +105
  • Jon Hamm +1200
  • Jack Lowden +2500
  • Jonathan Pryce +5000
  • Takehiro Hira +5000
  • Mark Duplass +5000

The Morning Show’s Billy Crudup has a modest lead on Shogun’s Tadanobu Asano, but all other actors possess astronomically low odds to win.

Entertainment prop bets for news and documentaries are some of the most competitive lines on the board. None that we have seen feature a leading nominee with a negative moneyline, which means massive payouts no matter which documentary wins.

Here’s an example:

Arts, Culture Or Entertainment – News & Documentary

  • National Geographic Fight Clubs +200
  • CBS James Nachtwey +300
  • ABC The New Face Of Hollywood A Soul Of A Nation +300
  • Hulu Rap Trap: Hip Hop On Trial +320
  • NBC 50 Years Fly Rise Fall Of Hip Hop Fashion +350

From top to bottom, only 150 points separate the most from the least likely to win the Emmy. Most of the Emmy props for documentaries feature similar action, and this is where we are placing most of our wagers for this Sunday.

Sources:

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