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Betting On UFC 301: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg

UFC 301 promo featuring Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg
  • Early Prelims For UFC 301 Begin May 4th At 6 PM On UFC Fight Pass
  • UFC 301 Prelims Can Be Seen On ESPN2 Or ESPN+ Starting At 8 PM
  • The Main Card Of UFC 301 Begins On ESPN+ At 10 PM

The Ultimate Fighting Championship has surpassed 300 pay-per-views and will air UFC 301 this Saturday at 10 PM. The event will be held at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, the birthplace of the BJJ fighting discipline that dominated early UFC events.

The main event of UFC 301 will feature a Flyweight Championship fight between Alexandre Pantoja and challenger Steve Erceg.

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Tale Of The Tape

Alexandre Pantoja Steve Erceg
Height 5’5” 5’8”
Weight 125 Lbs. 126 Lbs.
Record 27-5 12-1
Reach 67” 68”
Leg Reach 36.5” 38”
Age 34 28
Wins By Knockout 8 2
Wins By Submission 10 6

 

This will be Steve Erceg’s fourth fight with the promotion. His first ten fights were contested in Eternal MMA, Hex Fight Series, and CDL Super Card. Two of Erceg’s three fights with the UFC have earned him Performance of the Night honors, but the sportsbooks are favoring the champion to retain this Saturday.

Here is the current line being offered at legal UFC betting sites for Pantoja vs. Erceg.

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Betting Line

  • Alexandre Pantoja -195
  • Steve Erceg +160

Pantoja is the current UFC Flyweight Champion and is nearly a two-to-one favorite to beat Erceg in the Octagon. The above tale of the tape reveals several reasons for Pantoja’s camp to be concerned.

Erceg stands 3 inches taller than Pantoja, outreaches him, and has proven that he can win by any means necessary. The last time Erceg lost a match was in 2017, and it was via decision.

Pantoja has proven to be a versatile combatant, scoring several knockout and submission victories. What’s concerning is that he’s lost five fights, with his most recent defeat coming at the hands of Askar Askarov at a UFC Fight Night in 2020.

Since then, Pantoja has been on a five-match win streak, earning the Flyweight strap at UFC 290 along the way.

The UFC is similar to boxing betting in that lines are offered for which round the fight will end. This is also known as round betting, and there is a line posted for Pantoja and Erceg.

When Will The Pantoja vs. Steve Erceg Fight End

  • Round 1 +300
  • Round 2 +475
  • Round 3 +650
  • Round 4 +800
  • Round 5 +1000
  • By Decision +155

Based on this UFC prop bet, the most likely outcome will be a victory by decision, suggesting the fight will go the full five rounds. The next most likely finish is a stoppage in round 1.

Bovada Sportsbook Review | MMA Junkies

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