The 2025 CFL season is nearing its grand finale, and all eyes are turning toward the Grey Cup showdown between the Montreal Alouettes and the Saskatchewan Roughriders happening this Sunday evening.
With Saskatchewan listed as a narrow favorite at -3.5 and Montreal offering value at +160 on the moneyline, gamblers are gearing up for a tightly contested matchup at CFL sportsbook sites.
The total sits at 49 points, suggesting oddsmakers expect a high-scoring affair. As fans prepare for kickoff, the betting markets offer a fascinating balance of familiarity and volatility, which are ideal conditions for those seeking an edge before the big game.
Grey Cup Betting Line
Montreal Alouettes vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders
Date/Time: November 16, 2025 – 6:00 PM
Spread
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Montreal Alouettes: +3.5 (-120)
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Saskatchewan Roughriders: -3.5 (EVEN)
Moneyline
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Montreal Alouettes: +160
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Saskatchewan Roughriders: -185
Total (Over/Under)
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Over 49.0 (-105)
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Under 49.0 (-115)
Why The Alouettes Will Win The Grey Cup
Quarterback Davis Alexander remains unbeaten as a starter, leading Montreal to 13 straight wins, including all regular-season and playoff appearances. His clutch play and poise under pressure have energized the team and made the Alouettes an extremely confident group entering the championship game.
Montreal’s biggest strength is its defense, which allowed the fewest passing yards and ranked first in net offensive yards against this season. The Alouettes’ defense consistently delivers key stops, giving them a crucial advantage in tight postseason matchups. Their ability to shut down high-powered offenses and force mistakes has been evident throughout the playoffs.
Popular playoff probability models even list Montreal as statistical favorites to win the 112th Grey Cup, projecting a 61% chance of victory compared to Saskatchewan’s 39%. Combined with their recent momentum, elite defense, and an emerging star quarterback, the Alouettes have all the ingredients to capture another CFL title on Sunday.
Why The Roughriders Will Win The CFL Title
The Saskatchewan Roughriders are poised to win the CFL title thanks to their league-best balance on both sides of the ball. Saskatchewan finished the regular season with the top record at 12-6, driven by a punishing defense that is among the very best in the league. Their defensive unit is renowned for shutting down the run and pressuring opposing quarterbacks, allowing their offense to control the pace of games.
The offensive line is another major strength, sending three players to the 2025 All-CFL team. This dominant group protects quarterback Trevor Harris and opens running lanes for AJ Ouellette, powering one of the league’s most efficient offenses. The Roughriders average 383.8 yards per game, which is second-best in the CFL, and have repeatedly turned long, grinding drives into points.
Saskatchewan’s proven ability to win close games, supported by an elite defense and powerful offensive line, makes them a formidable Grey Cup contender. With momentum from their playoff run and a hunger to capture their first Grey Cup since 2013, the Roughriders have all the elements necessary to lift the trophy this season.
Our Prediction: Montreal covers the spread of -3.5 points
Bovada Sportsbook (review) | KPMG Playoff Probability Model
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