Is one game into Week 5 of the 2025-26 NFL season too early to check in on odds for the league’s Most Valuable Player? Not for gamblers who are into large payouts.
Today, we’re taking an early look at favorites and sleeper candidates and their odds for betting on the NFL MVP.
Regular Season NFL MVP Odds
- Josh Allen (BUF) -110
- Justin Herbert (LAC) +600
- Patrick Mahomes (KC) +750
- Lamar Jackson (BAL) +1000
- Jalen Hurts (PHI) +1500
- Jordan Love (GB) +1500
- Matthew Stafford (LAR) +1600
- Jared Goff (DET) +2200
- Baker Mayfield (TB) +2800
- Daniel Jones (IND) +5000
- Jayden Daniels (WAS) +5000
- Dak Prescott (DAL) +6000
- Sam Darnold (SEA) +6000
Josh Allen
Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills is the current favorite to win the 2025 NFL MVP award with -110 odds, implying just over a 50% chance according to sportsbooks. Allen has been instrumental in the Bills’ 4-0 undefeated start, throwing for 964 yards with 7 passing touchdowns and 3 rushing touchdowns through the first four weeks.
Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers is currently the second favorite for the 2025 NFL MVP award, with +600 odds. Herbert has led the Chargers to a strong 3-1 start, throwing for 860 passing yards and six touchdowns with just one interception through the first four games, showcasing consistent high-level play. NFL sportsbooks are paying out 6-to-1 on his MVP odds.
Sleeper: Daniel Jones
Daniel Jones of the Indianapolis Colts is a long shot but a rising contender after a strong start to the season. Jones has led the Colts to a 3-1 record, throwing for 1,078 yards, 7 total touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. His efficient and mostly mistake-free play has drawn MVP buzz, and he has also become the first QB in the Super Bowl era with at least three passing and three rushing touchdowns and no turnovers during a three-game span.
Non-Quarterback MVP Contenders
Running Backs
Running backs face long odds in the NFL MVP race, with Saquon Barkley (PHI) at +8500, Derrick Henry (BAL) at +10000, and Bijan Robinson (ATL) at +15000. Historically, quarterbacks have dominated the award, making it difficult for running backs to win without record-breaking seasons or clear team dominance.
Barkley is currently the only non-quarterback among the top 25 MVP candidates. Still, it would take exceptional performances from him, Henry, or Robinson to attract serious MVP attention from voters as the season progresses.
Puka Nacua (LAR)+10000
Puka Nacua of the Los Angeles Rams carries +10000 odds for the NFL MVP in 2025, an ambitious long shot considering the award’s quarterback preference. Through five games, Nacua has caught 52 passes for 588 yards, averaging 11.3 yards per catch, and has scored 2 touchdowns.
His receiving yardage and reception totals put him on pace for a historic season, with projections exceeding 2,100 yards if he maintains this pace. Nacua’s dynamic start has captivated analysts and fans, highlighting his value in the Rams’ offense despite the challenging MVP odds.
Micah Parsons (GB)
Micah Parsons holds +15000 odds for the 2025 NFL MVP award, making him a distant long shot despite being the highest-ranked defensive player. What’s intriguing is his addition to the Green Bay Packers and how it impacts their playoff run this postseason. He is worthy of a sleeper bet for anyone who believes GB is Super Bowl-bound.
