As the 68th Annual Grammy Awards approach on February 1, 2026, the betting markets at Bovada and BetUS are revealing a fascinating split in how oddsmakers view the field.
From Bad Bunny’s historic push for Album of the Year to the viral surge of the KPop Demon Hunters, the odds for betting on the Grammys tell a story of a Recording Academy caught between its traditional “prestige” picks and a new era of global commercial dominance.
Whether you’re looking for a safe favorite in Kendrick Lamar or a high-value underdog like Sabrina Carpenter, understanding these discrepancies is the first step to a winning ballot.
Album of the Year
| Nominee | Bovada | BetUS |
| Bad Bunny – Debí Tirar Más Fotos | -140 | -200 |
| Lady Gaga – Mayhem | +400 | +250 |
| Kendrick Lamar – GNX | +275 | +350 |
| Sabrina Carpenter – Man’s Best Friend | +1600 | +700 |
| Tyler, The Creator – Chromakopia | +2500 | +1300 |
| Clipse – Let God Sort Em Out | +2000 | +1800 |
| Leon Thomas – Mutt | +3000 | +1500 |
| Justin Bieber – Swag | +4000 | +2500 |
This category is historically significant as Bad Bunny’s Debí Tirar Más Fotos makes history as the second all-Spanish album ever nominated for the top prize. Bad Bunny is favored for the win at both entertainment sportsbooks.
He faces heavyweights like Kendrick Lamar, whose GNX continues his dominant run, and Lady Gaga, whose Mayhem marked a massive “return to form” critically.
The field is rounded out by pop darling Sabrina Carpenter and rap veterans Clipse, making it a diverse battle between global superstardom and artistic grit.
Record of the Year
| Nominee | Bovada | BetUS |
| Kendrick Lamar ft. SZA – Luther | -135 | -150 |
| Rosé & Bruno Mars – APT. | +500 | +250 |
| Lady Gaga – Abracadabra | +275 | +350 |
| Bad Bunny – DtMF | +450 | +350 |
| Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild | +3000 | +1200 |
| Billie Eilish – Wildflower | +2500 | +1400 |
| Doechii – Anxiety | +3000 | +2000 |
| Chappell Roan – The Subway | +2500 | +2800 |
This race focuses on the technical and vocal “wow factor” of specific tracks. Kendrick Lamar and SZA’s Luther is the heavy favorite for its smooth production, but Rosé and Bruno Mars’ APT. has massive momentum as the first K-pop-led track to break into this category.
Lady Gaga’s Abracadabra and Bad Bunny’s DtMF also bring high-energy production that appeals to the Recording Academy’s love for global hits.
Song of the Year
| Nominee | Bovada | BetUS |
| KPop Demon Hunters (HUNTR/X) – Golden | -300 | -400 |
| Kendrick Lamar ft. SZA – Luther | +500 | +300 |
| Bad Bunny – DtMF | +1000 | +900 |
| Lady Gaga – Abracadabra | +900 | +1000 |
| Billie Eilish – Wildflower | +1400 | +1200 |
| Rosé & Bruno Mars – APT. | +2000 | +1400 |
| Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild | +2800 | +2500 |
| Doechii – Anxiety | +2500 | +2800 |
Unlike Record of the Year, this award honors the songwriters. The “dark horse” here is Golden by KPop Demon Hunters (HUNTR/X), which became a viral sensation from an animated film.
Gamblers who shop the lines can gain 100 points on the moneyline odds, depending on which book they choose to place a wager on KPop Demon Hunters.
It competes against deeply personal songwriting like Billie Eilish’s Wildflower and Sabrina Carpenter’s witty, sharp-tongued Manchild. The Academy often leans toward storytelling here, which could favor Kendrick Lamar or Lady Gaga.
Best New Artist
| Nominee | Bovada | BetUS |
| Olivia Dean | -300 | -300 |
| Leon Thomas | +300 | +200 |
| Alex Warren | +2000 | +1400 |
| KATSEYE | +3000 | +1400 |
| Sombr | +3000 | +1600 |
| Addison Rae | +3000 | +2000 |
| Lola Young | +2200 | +2800 |
| The Marias | +3000 | +2800 |
This year’s newcomer crop is led by Olivia Dean, whose soulful jazz-pop has charmed critics.
However, the category is highly competitive with a “special segment” performance planned for all eight nominees, including R&B’s Leon Thomas, global girl group KATSEYE, and influencer-turned-popstar Addison Rae.
It’s a classic battle between indie-credibility and massive commercial breakout success.
Best Pop Solo Performance
| Nominee | Bovada | BetUS |
| Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild | -225 | -200 |
| Lady Gaga – Disease | +700 | +200 |
| Justin Bieber – Daisies | +1600 | +400 |
| Chappell Roan – The Subway | +325 | +500 |
| Lola Young – Messy | +1000 | +1000 |
This is a showdown between the defining pop queens of the year. Sabrina Carpenter is the frontrunner with Manchild, but she faces stiff competition from Lady Gaga’s Disease and Chappell Roan’s The Subway.
The inclusion of Lola Young and Justin Bieber ensures a mix of gritty new-school pop and veteran star power.
Best Rap Album
| Nominee | Bovada | BetUS |
| Kendrick Lamar – GNX | -275 | -300 |
| Clipse – Let God Sort Em Out | +185 | +150 |
| Tyler, The Creator – Chromakopia | +750 | +800 |
| JID – God Does Like Ugly | +3500 | +1600 |
| GloRilla – Glorious | +3500 | +1800 |
The rap field is exceptionally strong this year, featuring three artists also nominated for the general Album of the Year. Kendrick Lamar’s GNX is the one to beat, but Clipse’s Let God Sort Em Out has been hailed as one of the best “comeback” albums in hip-hop history.
Tyler, The Creator remains a perennial favorite with Chromakopia, while GloRilla and JID represent the vibrant modern state of the genre.
Official Website Of The 2026 Grammy Awards
