As WrestleMania 42 descends upon Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, the wrestling world is fixated on a collision over a decade in the making. In the main event of Night 2, the World Heavyweight Champion CM Punk defends his title against the 2026 Royal Rumble winner, Roman Reigns.
This ia a clash of philosophies between the “Best in the World” and the “Original Tribal Chief.” For bettors, the stakes are as high as the championship itself, with oddsmakers providing a complex landscape of props and lines.
The Moneyline: Who Walks Out Champion?
- Roman Reigns: -280
- CM Punk: +180
The odds favor Roman Reigns to reclaim the mountaintop. At -280, the “Head of the Table” is the clear frontrunner at WWE sportsbooks, reflecting the momentum he’s carried since his dominant Rumble victory.
Punk, the underdog at +180, faces a steep climb. While the “Second City Saint” has proven he can win against the odds, Vegas expects the championship to find its way back into the hands of the Bloodline’s former leader.
First Submission Move: A Battle of Technique
- Anaconda Vise (CM Punk): -200
- Guillotine (Roman Reigns): +150
Interestingly, the betting lines shift toward Punk when it comes to early technical grappling. The Anaconda Vise is favored at -200 to be the first submission applied. Punk’s background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu often leads him to go for the hold early to wear down larger opponents.
Meanwhile, Roman’s Guillotine (+150) is typically a late-match equalizer, making it a less likely candidate for the opening technical exchange.
Method of Victory: How It Ends
- Pinfall: -600
- Submission: +350
- Any other method (DQ or Countout): +500
Vegas is nearly certain this match will end with shoulders on the mat. With Pinfall at a massive -600, bettors are looking at the most traditional wrestling finish. Despite both men having lethal submission holds, the +350 line suggests the referee’s hand is more likely to slap the canvas three times than to signal a tap-out.
First Finishing Move: Striking First
- Spear (Roman Reigns): -165
- GTS (CM Punk): +120
Reigns is the favorite to land the first “death blow.” The Spear at -165 is viewed as a move that can be hit out of nowhere, often used as a counter to an opponent’s high-flying offense. Punk’s GTS (+120) requires more setup, including hoist and positioning, giving the edge to the explosive speed of the Tribal Chief.
The First Near Fall: Surviving the Storm
- Roman Reigns: -150
- CM Punk: +110
The odds suggest Roman Reigns will be the first one to come within a millisecond of losing. At -150, the line implies that Punk will mount the first significant offensive flurry, forcing Roman to kick out of a big move early. This aligns with many “big fight” structures where the underdog champion shows his mettle before the powerhouse challenger takes control.
Total Spears: The Roman Artillery
- Over 2.5 Spears: -175
- Under 2.5 Spears: +130
Expect a barrage of impact. The “Over” is heavily favored here, suggesting Roman will need more than two Spears to keep Punk down. Given Punk’s legendary resilience and the “Big Match” atmosphere of WrestleMania, bettors are banking on a war of attrition where one Spear simply isn’t enough.
Total GTS: The Punk Precision
- Over 3.5 GTS: +120
- Under 3.5 GTS: -165
Conversely, the “Under” is the favorite for Punk’s signature Go To Sleep. While the GTS is devastating, hitting it four or more times is a tall order against a man of Roman’s size. The odds suggest Punk will rely more on his diverse striking and submission game rather than spamming his finisher to secure the win.
Read our SportsBetting.Legal pro wrestling betting guide for more information about how to wager on matches and props.
Sources: BetUS | Bleacher Report
